Binomial Distribution is the probability distribution of the number of
successes in a sequence of n independent yes, no experiments each of which has
a success with probability p. This is also known as Bernoulli Trial or
experiment. The equation for this is nCr x p(s)r x p(f)n-r.
n=sample size
r=no. of successes
p(s)=probability of one success
p(f)=probability of one failure.
A worked example of this is: in a
large town one person in five is left-handed. Find the probability that in a
class of thirty children exactly five are left-handed.
The answer is: 30C3 x 0.23 x 0.827=0.0875.
30=sample size
3=number of successes (lefties)
0.2=probability of one success (as 1 in 5 are left-handed)
0.8=probability of one failure (as 4 in 5 are right-handed).
Sometimes you will be asked to find sample size, a worked example of this is:
Sometimes you will be asked to find sample size, a worked example of this is:
How large must a sample be if the
probability of at least one left-handed person is to be greater than 90%.
p(s ≥ 1) ≥ 0.9
is the same as 1-p(s=0) ≥ 0.9
1-(nC0 x 0.8n x 0.20 ≥ 0.9 = 1-0.8n ≥ 0.9
0.1 ≥ 0.8n
Trial and Error:
p(s ≥ 1) ≥ 0.9
is the same as 1-p(s=0) ≥ 0.9
1-(nC0 x 0.8n x 0.20 ≥ 0.9 = 1-0.8n ≥ 0.9
0.1 ≥ 0.8n
Trial and Error:
0.810=0.107 =failure
0.811=0.086 =success
n must be ≥ 11
0.811=0.086 =success
n must be ≥ 11
Notice that instead of writing out f=1 throught to f=30 we just did
1-f=0 which is much quicker.
